Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 13.379810 15.282118 17.321100 19.664722 22.279521 25.102493 28.376092
2024-10-20 10.056606 12.498930 15.307282 18.758661 22.868193 27.586086 33.392424
2024-10-27 7.660523 10.312787 13.569605 17.825557 23.198587 29.711303 38.152036
2024-11-03 6.527030 9.447169 13.250593 18.497327 25.466031 34.313575 46.290404
2024-11-10 5.955048 9.200994 13.657061 20.103620 29.050583 40.868462 57.464799
2024-11-17 5.262232 8.663563 13.575530 21.010071 31.761966 46.494096 67.891091
2024-11-24 4.454034 7.815898 12.921780 21.000240 33.158951 50.413955 76.288027
2024-12-01 3.675450 6.876727 11.988861 20.437364 33.654882 53.055129 83.042215
2024-12-08 3.138313 6.236712 11.421290 20.339784 34.792234 56.657757 91.382475
2024-12-15 2.763801 5.810452 11.133661 20.632242 36.522382 61.224774 101.410041
2024-12-22 2.377417 5.293547 10.616377 20.468560 37.477539 64.633161 109.856813
2024-12-29 2.219137 5.185217 10.799935 21.510849 40.484070 71.436691 123.965449
2025-01-05 1.946614 4.811765 10.468844 21.640371 42.016058 76.075471 135.111589
2025-01-12 1.621808 4.266418 9.734796 20.946106 42.045366 78.239610 142.393951
2025-01-19 1.336019 3.747740 8.975289 20.105982 41.719684 79.759824 148.684921
2025-01-26 1.242221 3.659495 9.089034 20.981392 44.616072 87.005550 165.056246
2025-02-02 1.235886 3.785479 9.675606 22.865901 49.557771 98.134925 188.694341
2025-02-09 1.165601 3.734749 9.864943 23.944108 53.023553 106.824545 208.527667
2025-02-16 1.031937 3.488114 9.575935 23.976222 54.432365 111.859445 222.162964
2025-02-23 0.878493 3.151180 9.024927 23.372536 54.504771 114.414649 231.465293
2025-03-02 0.773770 2.930858 8.721712 23.281532 55.604628 118.939488 244.556337
2025-03-09 0.703028 2.797451 8.615056 23.623019 57.620516 125.301243 261.314382
2025-03-16 0.617794 2.596775 8.304153 23.447204 58.510531 129.518173 274.248030